FB analysis of Silhan Saitov: "HOW MUCH WEIGHTED" THE POLITICAL PARTIES IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF SHUTO ORIZARI IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2024 - FIRST ROUND?

 

  • The Union of Roma in yesterday's presidential elections - first round, arbitrarily won at least 1200 votes
  • OO SDSM - Shuto Orizari in yesterday's presidential elections - first round, arbitrarily won less than 700 votes
  • In yesterday's presidential elections - first round, SRM arbitrarily won about 400 votes
  • OK VMRO-DPMNE – Shuto Orizari together with DSR, DPR, OPER and ROM, in yesterday's presidential elections – first round, won 1853 votes. At this point, I have not been able to determine how much they weigh.

How did I weigh them on the scale?

  • For the Council of the Municipality of Shuto Orizari in 2021, the Roma Union (at that time still unregistered, but represented by the same candidates, current party representatives) won 1678 votes, DUI won 1464 and AA in coalition with Alternativa won 667 votes. By summing up their joint votes, since they are now acting in a Coalition (without Alternative), for the Council of the Municipality of Shuto Orizari in 2021 these political parties won a total of 3809 votes or in an arbitrary percentage share, the Roma Union 45%, DUI 38% and AA and Alternative 17%. Hence, based on this percentage share from 2021, the Union of Roma in yesterday's presidential elections – first round, arbitrarily won at least 1200 votes, representing at least 45% of the 2699 votes won.
  • For the Shuto Orizari Municipality Council in 2021, OO SDSM – Shuto Orizari (at that time in Coalition with OPER and PCER) won 1622 votes, and SRM won 956 votes. CDU was not registered at that time and did not participate in those elections. By summing up the joint votes for the Council of the Municipality of Shuto Orizari in 2021, the then parties that participated together, won a total of 2578 votes or in percentage share, OO SDSM - Shuto Orizari less than 63%, and SRM 37%. From the existing data, it is not possible to determine the percentage share of OPER, PCER and CDU. Based on the arbitrary percentage share from 2021, in yesterday's presidential elections - first round, OO SDSM - Shuto Orizari arbitrarily won less than 700 votes (less than 63% of the total 1132), and SRM won less than 400 votes (representing about 37 % of the 1132 votes won). It is expected that the CDU has a certain share in the total votes won. Therefore, I highlight the arbitrarily won votes with the adverb "less".
  • For the Coalition of OK VMRO-DPMNE - Shuto Orizari, DSR, DPR, OPER and ROM, I would not be able to calculate numbers, because all these parties, with the exception of DSR, did not participate independently in the elections for Mayor and Council of the Municipality of Shuto Orizari in 2021. But all these five political parties together won a total of 1853 votes.

 

 

The text is taken from the FB profile of the author Silhan Saitov - Master of Public Health: https://www.facebook.com/saitovsilhan

 

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